{"id":2309,"date":"2026-01-17T16:38:50","date_gmt":"2026-01-17T16:38:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sesdergisi.ca\/?p=2309"},"modified":"2026-01-17T18:27:58","modified_gmt":"2026-01-17T18:27:58","slug":"kurtler-suriye-denkleminde-artik-yan-aktor-degil-merkez-guc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sesdergisi.ca\/?p=2309","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcrtler: Suriye Denkleminde Art\u0131k \u201cYan Akt\u00f6r\u201d De\u011fil, Merkez G\u00fc\u00e7"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00d6nce \u00e7\u0131plak ger\u00e7e\u011fi koymak gerekir:<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u00fcrtler (SDG), Kuzey Suriye’de yakla\u015f\u0131k 120\u2013150 bin silahl\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcyle, modern silahlarla donat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, disiplinli ve sava\u015f tecr\u00fcbesi y\u00fcksek \u015fekilde Suriye\u2019nin fiilen en b\u00fcy\u00fck askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

Bu bir iddia de\u011fil, sahadaki g\u00fc\u00e7 da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n matemati\u011fidir.<\/p>\n

\u015eam\u2019daki yeni y\u00f6netimin, HT\u015e k\u00f6kenli unsurlar\u0131n, Erdo\u011fan destekli milislerin ya da par\u00e7al\u0131 Suriye ordusunun tek ba\u015f\u0131na bu g\u00fcc\u00fc askeri olarak tasfiye edebilme kapasitesi yoktur.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden \u201c\u015eam\u2019\u0131n K\u00fcrtlerle sava\u015fma se\u00e7ene\u011fi\u201d teoride var ama pratikte intihard\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bu noktadan sonra mesele asker\u00ee de\u011fil, stratejik ak\u0131l meselesidir.<\/p>\n

……<\/p>\n

K\u00fcrtlerin As\u0131l G\u00fcc\u00fc: Sava\u015fmamay\u0131 Bilme Kapasitesi<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

Bu detay\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zellikle \u00e7izmek istiyorum. K\u00fcrtlerin son 5\u20136 y\u0131ldaki en kritik tercihi \u015fudur: I\u015e\u0130D\u2019i yendikten sonra, sahip olduklar\u0131 askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131zca kullanmamak. Bu \u00e7ok az akt\u00f6r\u00fcn yapabildi\u011fi bir \u015feydir.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcrtler:<\/p>\n

\u2022 I\u015e\u0130D sonras\u0131 intikam sava\u015f\u0131na girmedi<\/p>\n

\u2022 \u015eam\u2019a y\u00fcr\u00fcmeyi denemedi<\/p>\n

\u2022 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yle topyek\u00fbn \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 se\u00e7medi<\/p>\n

\u2022 B\u00f6lgesel hegemonyaya oynamad\u0131<\/p>\n

Bunun yerine:<\/p>\n

\u2022 ABD ile koordinasyonu korudu<\/p>\n

\u2022 Uluslararas\u0131 koalisyonu kaybetmemeye oynad\u0131<\/p>\n

\u2022 \u0130srail\u2019le do\u011frudan de\u011fil ama \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131zl\u0131k \u00e7izgisinde kald\u0131<\/p>\n

\u2022 Sahadaki g\u00fcc\u00fc siyasi pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fcne \u00e7evirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu, romantik de\u011fil son derece rasyonel bir tercihtir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc K\u00fcrtler \u015funu \u00e7ok iyi biliyor: Kazan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir g\u00fcc\u00fc, yanl\u0131\u015f bir sava\u015fta kaybetmek; hi\u00e7 kazanmamaktan daha a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda en derin devlet akl\u0131d\u0131r bu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

……<\/p>\n

\u201cKasaba \u0130\u00e7in Devlet Kaybetmemek\u201d Stratejisi<\/b><\/p>\n

Kendi direkt olarak s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde bulunmayan bir kasaba veya bir mahalle i\u00e7in direterek bu g\u00fcc\u00fc kaybetmek yerine, \u015fartlara g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi se\u00e7iyorlar. Bu, klasik gerilla akl\u0131ndan devlet akl\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015ftir. K\u00fcrtler art\u0131k taktik alan kayb\u0131n\u0131 stratejik g\u00fc\u00e7 kayb\u0131 saym\u0131yor, geri \u00e7ekilmeyi yenilgi olarak okumuyor ve zaman\u0131 kendi lehine oynayan bir de\u011fi\u015fken olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden Halep\u2019te \u00e7ekilme: Askeri zay\u0131fl\u0131k de\u011fil, b\u00fcy\u00fck sava\u015f\u0131n ertelenmesi ve masan\u0131n korunmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu davran\u0131\u015f, bir \u201cmilis\u201d refleksi de\u011fil, proto-devlet refleksidir asl\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

…..<\/p>\n

\u015eam Ger\u00e7e\u011fi: Uzla\u015fma Zorunlulu\u011fu<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

Bu noktada a\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fal\u0131m: \u015eam\u2019\u0131n K\u00fcrtlerle uzla\u015fma d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir se\u00e7ene\u011fi yoktur. Neden?<\/p>\n

1. Asker\u00ee olarak yenemez<\/p>\n

2. Uzun s\u00fcreli bir i\u00e7 sava\u015f, yeni rejimi daha do\u011fmadan bo\u011far<\/p>\n

3. K\u00fcrtlerle sava\u015f, ABD ve Bat\u0131\u2019y\u0131 tekrar sahaya \u00e7eker<\/p>\n

4. K\u00fcrtleri ezmek, I\u015e\u0130D ve benzeri yap\u0131lar i\u00e7in yeniden alan a\u00e7ar<\/p>\n

5. T\u00fcrkiye\u2013\u0130ran\u2013\u0130srail denklemi kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kar. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u015eam i\u00e7in K\u00fcrtler: \u00a0\u201cSorun\u201d de\u011fil, \u00a0devlet kurucu ortaklardan biri olmak zorundad\u0131r<\/p>\n

…..<\/p>\n

\u015eara Meselesi: Akt\u00f6r m\u00fc, Arac\u0131 m\u0131?<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

\u015eara\u2019n\u0131n durumu burada kritik. \u015eara (ya da benzeri fig\u00fcrler):<\/p>\n

\u2022 Sahada ta\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131 fig\u00fcrd\u00fcr<\/p>\n

\u2022 G\u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcretmez, g\u00fc\u00e7 aktar\u0131r<\/p>\n

\u2022 Kendi ba\u015f\u0131na karar alma kapasitesi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r<\/p>\n

K\u00fcrtler bunun fark\u0131nda. Bu y\u00fczden, \u015eara ile ideolojik kavga etmiyorlar. Ki\u015filere de\u011fil arkas\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 mimarisine bak\u0131yorlar. Ve o g\u00fc\u00e7 mimarilerinin bug\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme i\u00e7in se\u00e7tikleri nokta ile teyid etti. ABD temsilcisi Tom Barrack\u2019\u0131n Mazlum Abdi ile Suriye\u2019de de\u011fil, ad\u0131 ‘K\u00fcrdistan’ olan bir b\u00f6lgede g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi asl\u0131nda Amerika \u00f6zelinde Washington\u2019un meseleyi nerde tuttu\u011funun g\u00f6stergesidir. Toplant\u0131 masas\u0131nda ba\u015f k\u00f6\u015fesinde Barrack ile Mesut Barzani\u2019nin oturmas\u0131 da \u00f6nemli bir detay. Ve \u00e7ok net bir k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi var: E\u011fer \u015eara, varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 K\u00fcrtlerle topyek\u00fbn bir sava\u015f \u00fczerine kurarsa, bu onun sonu olur.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc: K\u00fcrtler sava\u015fmak zorunda kal\u0131rsa, art\u0131k savunma de\u011fil varolu\u015f sava\u015f\u0131 olur. Bu da sadece \u015eara\u2019y\u0131 de\u011fil, t\u00fcm Suriye\u2019yi yeniden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma alan\u0131na \u00e7evirir. T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130ran, \u0130srail ve ABD ayn\u0131 anda denkleme girer. Bu senaryo hi\u00e7 kimsenin \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

…..<\/p>\n

Ankara Fakt\u00f6r\u00fc: Bilin\u00e7li Provokasyon<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

Ankara\u2019n\u0131n rol\u00fc burada \u00e7ok net: Ankara, Erdo\u011fan rejiminin i\u00e7te ve d\u0131\u015ftaki provakatif akl\u0131yla, SDG\u2019yi s\u00fcrekli bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n i\u00e7ine \u00e7ekmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Neden? \u00d6zetleyeyim:<\/p>\n

\u2022 K\u00fcrtlerin sab\u0131rl\u0131, uzla\u015fmac\u0131 \u00e7izgisi Ankara\u2019n\u0131n stratejisini bo\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/p>\n

\u2022 Erdo\u011fan rejimi ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin derin yap\u0131s\u0131, K\u00fcrtlerin \u201cme\u015fru akt\u00f6r\u201d haline gelmesini istemiyor<\/p>\n

\u2022 \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u0131karsa, \u201cter\u00f6r\u201d s\u00f6ylemi yeniden i\u015fler<\/p>\n

Ama K\u00fcrtlerin bug\u00fcne kadar yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fey \u015fu:<\/p>\n

\u2022 Bu tuza\u011fa d\u00fc\u015fmemek, zorunlu olmad\u0131k\u00e7a silaha sar\u0131lmamak ve Ankara’y\u0131 \u00a0diplomatik olarak yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakmak. Bu da uzun vadede K\u00fcrtlerin lehine i\u015fliyor.<\/p>\n

….<\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7: G\u00fc\u00e7 Kullanma Yetene\u011fi + G\u00fc\u00e7 Kullanmama \u0130radesi<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn K\u00fcrtlerin en b\u00fcy\u00fck avantaj\u0131 \u015fudur: Hem sava\u015fabilecek g\u00fc\u00e7leri var, hem de sava\u015fmamay\u0131 se\u00e7ebilecek siyasi olgunluklar\u0131. Bu kombinasyon Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da \u00e7ok nadirdir. O y\u00fczden: Geri \u00e7ekilme zay\u0131fl\u0131k de\u011fil, uzla\u015fma teslimiyet de\u011fil, sab\u0131r korkakl\u0131k de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

Bu, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi bilen bir g\u00fcc\u00fcn davran\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00d6nce \u00e7\u0131plak ger\u00e7e\u011fi koymak gerekir: K\u00fcrtler (SDG), Kuzey Suriye’de yakla\u015f\u0131k 120\u2013150 bin silahl\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcyle, modern silahlarla donat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, disiplinli<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2310,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[132],"tags":[134,136,135,133],"yoast_head":"\nK\u00fcrtler: Suriye Denkleminde Art\u0131k \u201cYan Akt\u00f6r\u201d De\u011fil, Merkez G\u00fc\u00e7 - SES MAGAZINE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"K\u00fcrtlerin Kuzey Suriye\u2019deki askeri ve siyasi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7\u2013itidal\u2013uzla\u015fma ekseninde ele alan stratejik ve edeb\u00ee bir analiz.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sesdergisi.ca\/?p=2309\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K\u00fcrtler: Suriye Denkleminde Art\u0131k \u201cYan Akt\u00f6r\u201d De\u011fil, Merkez G\u00fc\u00e7 - 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